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Smoke Forecast for Tuesday, July 16, 2024 9:30 AM

  • July 16 2024

Current Conditions

Despite breezy and hot conditions, the Horse Gulch fire showed little growth on Monday. Lighter winds on Tuesday will allow the smoke to pool and drain into surrounding areas from York to Canyon Ferry Lake. The Miller Peak Incident, just south of Missoula, experienced explosive growth on Monday, sending smoke east into places like Helena and the I-90 corridor.

See the latest Air Resource Advisor report from the Horse Gulch fire here

At 8:00 AM Tuesday, Thompson Falls, Frenchtown, Missoula, Great Falls, Butte, Dillon, West Yellowstone, Bozeman, Billings, and Broadus were enduring Moderate air quality.

Smoke continues to pour into Montana from fires burning in and out of the state.Smoke continues to pour into Montana from fires burning in and out of the state.

Source: NOAA

Forecast

Light winds are expected on Tuesday which will limit fire growth. However, light easterly winds could send smoke from the Miller Peak fire into parts of the Bitterroot and Missoula Valleys starting Tuesday night. Air quality could become degraded in places like Hamilton, Frenchtown, and Missoula through Wednesday night as light easterly winds persist.

High pressure will continue to provide hot, dry, and breezy conditions across the state. It will continue to dry out fuels across the region and allow for existing fires to gradually expand. Unfortunately, there is very little rain anticipated for the Northern Rockies over the next week so air quality will gradually deteriorate in places.

By late Tuesday night, the HRRR-Smoke model shows a large plume of heavy smoke coming off of the Miller Peak Incident, mixing with smoke from other regional wildfires.

By late Tuesday night, the HRRR-Smoke model shows a large plume of heavy smoke coming off of the Miller Peak Incident, mixing with smoke from other regional wildfires.

Source: HRRR Smoke

Conditions can change quickly as weather could stimulate active fires and the likelihood of new starts increases. Please keep track of concentrations at todaysair.mtdeq.us or the Fire and Smoke Map.

Current Wildfires

Incident

State

location

acres

containment

Bench Lake Fire - IDSTF

Idaho

8 miles south of Stanley, Idaho

1,275

0%

Billy Creek Fire - IDIDS

Idaho

14.71 Miles SSE of Asotin, WA

3,185

74%

Deadman Fire - MTMTS

Montana

Approx 17 mi south of Birney and north of the Tongue River Reservoir in Rosebud and Big Horn Counties

22,208

0%

Horse Gulch Fire - MTHLF

Montana

5 miles south of York

12,917

10%

Miller Peak Fire - MTLNF

Montana

8 miles southeast of Missoula

800

                        NA

Running Wolf Fire - MTHLF

Montana

SW of Stanford, MT

93

100%

Falls Fire - ORMAF

Oregon

20 miles NW of Burns

64,225

0%

Cow Valley Fire - ORVAD

Oregon

9 miles east of Ironside, Ore.

133,408

16%

Salt Creek - OR710S

Oregon

5 miles SSW of Butte Falls, Oregon

4,102

58%

Little Yamsay Fire - ORFWF

Oregon

NA

6,340

100%

2023 Chilcoot Fire UNF - ORUPF

Oregon

Umpqua National Forest - 19 mi ENE of Glide, OR

1,940

96%

2023 Chilcoot Fire UNF - ORUPF

Oregon

Umpqua National Forest - 19 mi ENE of Glide, OR

1,940

96%

2023 Ridge Fire UNF - ORUPF

Oregon

Umpqua National Forest - 34mi East of Glide, OR and 36mi west of Chemult, OR

214

100%

2023 Ridge Fire UNF - ORUPF

Oregon

Umpqua National Forest - 34mi East of Glide, OR and 36mi west of Chemult, OR

214

100%

Pioneer - WASES

Washington

10 miles southeast of Stehekin, WA

18,731

14%

Gold Creek - WANES

Washington

3.25 miles south of Carlton, WA

278

100%

 

Source: Inciweb


Tags: Smoke Forecast 2024