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Smoke Forecast for Wednesday, September 11, 2024 8:30 AM

  • September 11 2024

Current Conditions

Montana DEQ has issued an Air Quality Alert until 9AM Thursday for Beaverhead, Deer Lodge, Granite, Ravalli, and Silver Bow Counties until 8AM Wednesday because of elevated particulate levels from wildfire smoke.

A trough of low pressure moves across that state late Wednesday. It will gradually help to scour the surface smoke over the region and provide some beneficial rain.

There are still several large, active fires burning in Central Idaho. The Wapiti fire is currently the largest wildfire in Idaho. It’s burning in the mountains of the Boise National Forest of Central Idaho. It has burned nearly 122,000 acres and is only 12% contained.

Several fires burning in Western Montana continue to grow. The Grouse fire burning just east of Wisdom has burned around 6,000 acres and is 22% contained. The Johnson fire burning just east of Sula has burned nearly 6,500 acres and is 25% contained. The Sharrott Creek fire just west of Stevensville is the largest staffed wildfire in the state, with 346 personnel assigned to it. has burned around 3,100 acres and is 36% contained. The Ratio Mountain fire burning east of Butte has burned more than 1,200 acres. It is 85% contained.

At 8:00 AM Wednesday, Libby, Thompson Falls, Columbia Falls, Frenchtown, Missoula, Seeley Lake, Helena, Great Falls, Lewistown, Bozeman, Billings, and Sidney were enduring Moderate air quality. Hamilton, Dillon, and Butte were experiencing air that is Unhealthy. Miles City, Glendive, and Broadus were enduring Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups air.

Wednesday morning’s satellite shows a trough of low pressure approaching providing increasing clouds for Montana.

Wednesday morning’s satellite shows a trough of low pressure approaching providing increasing clouds for Montana.

Source: NOAA

 

Forecast

Air quality will remain degraded over several counties in Southwest Montana again on Wednesday. However, a powerful area of low pressure will begin to scour out the surface smoke late in the day. Much of the region will receive more than half an inch of precipitation from this storm through early Friday. It will help to moderate fire behavior and limit smoke production. By Thursday, the entire region will be breathing cleaner air as a result.

The higher terrain over Western Montana has a good chance of picking up several inches of snow. Snow could fall as low as 6,000 feet from this system, and travel could become tricky over the passes. A ridge moves over the Treasure State this weekend, providing drier and warmer weather.

By Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, another trough of low pressure swings into Montana. Expect another round of beneficial rain and mountain snow. The timely precipitation should help to keep regional wildfires in check and help reduce surface smoke concentrations over the area. Stay tuned!

By late Thursday the HRRR smoke model shows surface smoke concentrations dropping over the Northern Rockies thanks to a trough of low pressure.

By late Thursday the HRRR smoke model shows surface smoke concentrations dropping over the Northern Rockies thanks to a trough of low pressure.

Source: HRRR Smoke

 

Conditions can change quickly as weather could stimulate active fires and the likelihood of new starts increases. Please keep track of concentrations at todaysair.mtdeq.us or the Fire and Smoke Map.

 

Current Wildfires

 

Current Wildfires

Incident

State

location

acres

containment

Lava Fire  - IDBOF

Idaho

12 miles SW of Cascade, ID

69,658

0%

Moore Square Complex - IDNCF

Idaho

Both Fires are located in the Gospel-Hump Wilderness Area near Square Mountain

3,673

49%

Frog - IDSTF

Idaho

Little Boulder Creek off the East Fork of the Salmon River

1,800

0%

Snag Fire - IDBOF

Idaho

9.5 miles East of Cascade, Idaho

33,139

15%

Goat Fire - IDBOF

Idaho

11 miles SE of Cascade, Idaho

21,449

0%

Dollar Fire  - IDBOF

Idaho

18 miles NE of Cascade, Idaho

4,338

8%

Boulder Fire - IDBOF

Idaho

9 Miles Southwest of Cascade, Idaho.

8,799

24%

Wapiti Fire - IDBOF

Idaho

2 miles southwest of Grandjean, ID

122,233

12%

Middle Fork Complex Fire: Bulldog and Nellie - IDBOF

Idaho

9 miles east of Garden Valley, ID

60,807

30%

Chimney Fire - IDEIX

Idaho

9 miles northwest of Fairfield, ID

6,146

10%

Slab Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

NA

25

NA

Logan Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

West of Edwardsburg, Krassel Ranger District, Payette National Forest

200

NA

Limepoint Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

8 miles NE of Oxbow Dam

33,075

95%

Moose Creek Complex - IDNCF

Idaho

East Moose creek Bridge to Elbow Bend impacted

10,388

NA

South Selway Complex - IDNCF

Idaho

Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness

NA

NA

Surprise Fire - IDNCF

Idaho

Three and one-half miles NE of Hunter Peak, Fifteen miles NW of Darby, MT in the Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness

763

NA

Copper Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

NA

315

NA

Farrow Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

NA

1,069

NA

Burnt Creek Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

NA

2,665

NA

Parks Fire - IDPAF

Idaho

NA

5,610

NA

Cracker Jack Complex - IDNCF

Idaho

All four fires are located within half a mile of each other: two and a half miles east of Concord, ID, less than a quarter acre east from Square Lake and less than a quarter acre west from Fish Lake.

3,800

NA

Red Rock Fire - IDSCF

Idaho, United States

15 miles west of Salmon, ID

2,570

0%

Black Eagle Fire - IDSCF

Idaho, United States

21 miles west of Salmon

5,941

0%

Vanity - IDSCF

Idaho, United States

37 NW West of Challis, Idaho

559

20%

Johnson Fire  - MTBRF

Montana

3 miles south of Springer Memorial Community in the East Fork of the Bitterroot

6,469

NA

Sharrott Creek Fire - MTBRF

Montana

Three miles west of Stevensville, Montana

3,193

NA

Marsh Creek - MTHLF

Montana

12 Miles Southeast of Lincoln, MT

130

0%

Long Tom Fire - MTMTS

Montana

10 miles south of Anaconda, MT

90

0%

Grouse  - MTBDF

Montana

Ten miles southwest of Wise River, MT

6,000

22%

Railroad-Daly Fire - MTBRF

Montana

Railroad Creek/ Skalkaho Creek confluence, 26 miles SE of Hamilton

6,080

6%

McDermott - MTBDF

Montana

17 miles northwest of Philipsburg, MT

425

NA

Elkhorn Ridge - MTBRF

Montana

West Fork District

3,125

0%

McElwain Fire - MTMTS

Montana

10 miles west of Helmville, MT

116

75%

Magruder Ridge Fire - MTBRF

Montana

Selway Bitterroot Wilderness

1652

0%

Remington Fire - MTGNF

Montana

14 miles NE of Leiter, WY, multiple counties in southeast Montana.

196,368

88%

Ratio Mountain - MTBDF

Montana

15 miles northwest of Whitehall, MT.

1,226

NA

Middle Fork Fire - ORCLP

Oregon

Crater Lake National Park; Middle Fork area

5,286

70%

Diamond Complex  - ORUPF

Oregon

18 miles southwest of Chemult, Oregon

11,141

86%

North Willamette Complex - ORWIF

Oregon

Willamette National Forest

4,631

NA

Flat Top and Firestone Fires - ORDEF

Oregon

North of Fort Rock, OR

NA

NA

Bachelor Complex Fires - ORDEF

Oregon

Mt Bachelor, 20 miles SW Bend, OR

5,987

NA

Rail Ridge - OROCF

Oregon

Approx. 7 miles south of Dayville, OR

157,759

12%

Devils Knob and Milepost 98 Fires  - ORUPF

Oregon

5 miles southeast of Tiller, OR

4,058

0%

Red Fire  - ORDEF

Oregon

Diamond Peak Wilderness, 16 miles west, north-west of Crescent Oregon.

1,696

0%

Willamette Complex Fires - South - ORWIF

Oregon

Willamette Complex South fires are 8 miles north and 8 to 22 miles S-SE of Oakridge.

22,943

NA

Shoe Fly Fire - OR95S

Oregon

6 Miles NE of Mitchell, Oregon

26,502

41%

Milepost 98 - ORUPF

Oregon

The MIiepost 98 fire is located approximately 1 mile south of Canyonville.

240

0%

Wiley Flat - OROCF

Oregon

10 miles southeast of post, Oregon

28,396

41%

Sandstone Fire - ORMHF

Oregon

9 miles SW of Ripplebrook, OR, on the Mt. Hood National Forest

702

75%

Whisky Creek Fire - ORMHF

Oregon

East fork of Herman Creek, 6 miles SE of Cascade Locks, OR

2,977

25%

Cottage Grove - Lane 1 - OR77S

Oregon

Approximately 16 miles SE of Springfield, OR

25,927

99%

Buck Creek Fire - ORFWF

Oregon

12 miles southwest of Silver Lake in a semi-primitive area of the Forest with limited road access.

3,501

0%

Homestead Complex - ORUPF

Oregon

Thirty miles northeast of Glide Oregon

18,973

33%

Fossil Complex - OR95S

Oregon

1.5 miles NW of Spray;10 miles east of Fossil; 5 miles NE of Monument, Oregon

15,552

3%

Copperfield Fire - OR98S

Oregon

10 miles east of Chiloquin, Oregon

3,822

86%

Two Cabin - OR95S

Oregon

4 Miles NE of Monument Oregon

251

5%

Swauk Creek - WASES

Washington

Kittitas County, WA

214

3%

Ruby Fire - WANCP

Washington

On Ruby Mountain in North Cascade National Park by Diablo and Ross Lake, 9 miles East of Newhalem

1,300

0%

Williams Mine Fire-GPNF  - WAGPF

Washington

3.5 miles NNW of Trout Lake WA

13,089

31%

Huckleberry Ridge Fire - WAPCS

Washington

20 miles south of Pe Ell, Washington

293

0%

Pincer Two Fire - WAMSF

Washington

Johannesburg Mountain. 1 Mile East of Mineral Park Campground

211

0%

Pioneer - WASES

Washington

Approximate start 10 miles southeast of Stehekin, WA

38,735

23%

Source: HRRR Smoke


Tags: Smoke Forecast 2024